Michael Burry says every bull-market top follows the same grieving cycle, with denial lasting 6 to 9 months or longer . He argues stimulus checks and broader monetary and fiscal support have delayed crashes for two decades. 🖱️ Denial . The market top forms here and can last 6 to 9 months or longer. 🖱️ Anger . Violent, steep drops follow early in a bear market. 🖱️ Bargaining . Value investors test fallen names,…
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The official channel of V3V Ventures. We share updates on our investments, portfolio companies, and fund activities. Buy (this is our only account).
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Goldman Sachs’s RSE-basket infographic shows tariffs aggressively drive key-goods prices but are not the main contributor , with AI demand and energy the biggest inflation shocks. ✔️ @venture
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US banks seized 42% more homes in August than last year as more borrowers failed to repay loans. 30-year mortgage rates reached 7.60% , the highest since Nov 2023. Home ownership is no longer affordable for the average US citizen. ✔️ @venture
The White House and the Fed are taking opposite positions on interest rates. The Fed raised rates to 3.75%-4.00% in September , with every voting member backing the move. 🖱️ Fed: Most officials expect another hike by year-end . PCE inflation was 3.8% in August . 🖱️ Trump: “We should have the lowest interest rate in the world .” 🖱️ Trump: “You have a board that would like to see the country do badly.” ✔️ @venture
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Nike shares are down over 80% from their peak. If they reclaim that high, investors buying here would make over 5x their money. The latest quarter shows whether a turnaround is in sight. ✔️ @venture
US high-yield credit market stress is rising sharply , with spreads for CCC-rated and lower corporate bonds up to 12.0% , their widest level since November 2022 . Over the last 5 months , spreads surged +298 basis points , surpassing the April 2025 peak of 11.4% . The increase is comparable to moves during the 2022 bear market and the February-April 2025 correction. If this pace continues, spreads will exceed the…
Diversification is dying. For every $1 invested in the S&P 500 , its 10 largest stocks get about 41 cents : Nvidia ( $NVDA ) 8 cents , Apple ( $AAPL ) 7 cents , Microsoft ( $MSFT ) and Alphabet ( $GOOGL ) 6 cents each, and Amazon ( $AMZN ) 4 cents . Broadcom , Meta , Tesla , Micron and AMD add 10 cents . The top 10 stocks represent almost 2x the allocation of 402 other companies , which account for 23 cents . Big…
The S&P 500 just hit its 28th record high of 2026 , crossing $71 trillion in market cap for the first time. 🖱️ 10-, 20- and 30-year Treasury yields are at 24-year highs. 🖱️ Inflation is 3.4% , above expectations, while mortgage rates are 7.28% , the highest since 2023. 🖱️ The Fed is hiking rates for the first time since 2023. Unemployment has risen to 4.2% , a 3-month high. 🖱️ Gasoline is $4.36 a gallon , up 39% in…